Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.227355 0.242017 0.257428 0.274882 0.294161 0.314875 0.338904
2025-02-16 0.188642 0.209418 0.232694 0.260944 0.294631 0.333944 0.383940
2025-02-23 0.165976 0.190126 0.218533 0.254950 0.301220 0.359239 0.439533
2025-03-02 0.149419 0.175271 0.206836 0.249101 0.305670 0.381100 0.493739
2025-03-09 0.137507 0.164430 0.198328 0.245407 0.311326 0.404211 0.553197
2025-03-16 0.128040 0.155563 0.191115 0.242056 0.316254 0.426149 0.614704
2025-03-23 0.122727 0.151463 0.189539 0.245849 0.331304 0.464819 0.711847
2025-03-30 0.115845 0.144647 0.183549 0.242489 0.334846 0.485477 0.782362
2025-04-06 0.108606 0.136813 0.175471 0.235147 0.331044 0.492945 0.829301
2025-04-13 0.102226 0.129761 0.167977 0.227943 0.326483 0.498130 0.872680
2025-04-20 0.099048 0.126979 0.166392 0.229590 0.336609 0.531209 0.986621
2025-04-27 0.096814 0.125375 0.166365 0.233586 0.351098 0.574988 1.142276
2025-05-04 0.093142 0.121586 0.162961 0.232056 0.356029 0.601673 1.269046
2025-05-11 0.089323 0.117423 0.158788 0.228992 0.357968 0.622982 1.393150
2025-05-18 0.086064 0.113929 0.155439 0.227044 0.361804 0.649392 1.548646
2025-05-25 0.082642 0.110025 0.151216 0.223240 0.361561 0.666507 1.684552
2025-06-01 0.079719 0.106738 0.147779 0.220523 0.363140 0.688354 1.853698
2025-06-08 0.077019 0.103664 0.144506 0.217823 0.364397 0.709698 2.038310
2025-06-15 0.075743 0.102708 0.144577 0.221124 0.378581 0.768013 2.444502
2025-06-22 0.073341 0.099897 0.141452 0.218276 0.379107 0.789293 2.692534
2025-06-29 0.070430 0.096183 0.136666 0.212002 0.371374 0.785447 2.798914
2025-07-06 0.067697 0.092664 0.132068 0.205826 0.363315 0.779367 2.891872
2025-07-13 0.066516 0.091557 0.131467 0.207240 0.372796 0.828852 3.423675